MACROMODELS 2021 conference programme

Monday, November 15, 2021

from 15:00 Hotel registration

19:30 – 22:00 Dinner and Get Together Party

 

Tuesday, November 16, 2021

7:45 – 9:00 Breakfast

9:15 – 9:45 Conference registration

 

9:45 – 10:00 Opening of the conference – Aleksander WELFE

 

10:00 – 11:00 Session 1: Bayesian approach in econometrics

Chair: Aleksander WELFE

Anna PAJOR, Jacek OSIEWALSKI, Justyna WRÓBLEWSKA, Łukasz KWIATKOWSKI, Bayesian ex post evaluation of recursive multi-step-ahead density prediction

Justyna WRÓBLEWSKA, Bayesian VEC-CCF models with time-varying cointegrating space in macroeconomic analyses

 

11:00 – 12:00 Session 2: Regional and multiregional analyses I

Chair: Jacek OSIEWALSKI

Ewa LECHMAN, Adam MARSZK, Reshaping financial systems: The role of ICT in the diffusion of financial innovations – Recent evidence from European countries

Andrzej TORÓJ, Using geolocation data in spatial-econometric construction of multiregion input-output tables: a Bayesian approach

 

12:00 – 12:30 Break

 

12:30 – 13:30 Session 3A: Technological specialisation

Chair: Sławomir ŚMIECH

Aleksandra PARTEKA, Aleksandra KORDALSKA, Zuzanna BAZYCHOWSKA, Modelling Technological Specialisation Using Product-Level Trade Statistics

Zuzanna BAZYCHOWSKA, Aleksandra PARTEKA, What determines countries’ productivity: natural resources or high-tech specialization?

 

12:30 – 13:30 Session 3B: Macroeconomic analyses

Chair: Monika PAPIEŻ

Anna GOMOLA, What simple econometric analysis will tell us about the Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables, Stock Market Indices, and the Activity of the Banking Sector?

Aleksandra MAJCHROWSKA, SYLWIA ROSZKOWSKA, Minimum wage and inflation: macroeconomic and regional approach

 

13:30 – 15:00 Lunch

 

15:00 – 16:00 Session 4A: Labour Market Modelling I

Chair: Sylwia ROSZKOWSKA

Paweł STRAWIŃSKI, Marcin PENCONEK, Honorata BOGUSZ, Radost WASZKIEWICZ, An extension to the Shimer labour market flow model

Paulina BRONIATOWSKA, How Aging Baby Boomers Affect Younger Workers’ Situation on the Labour Market?

 

15:00 – 16:00 Session 4B: International financial markets

Chair: Marek DĄBROWSKI

Jakub JANUS, Cross-border flights to safe assets in bond markets: evidence from emerging market economies

Joanna TRĘBSKA, Rest of the world sector in the intersectoral flow of funds system. The Visegrad group after joining the EU

 

16:00 – 16:30 Break

 

17:00 – 18:00 Session 5: Regional and multiregional analyses II

Chair: Andrzej TORÓJ

Jan ACEDAŃSKI, Disaggregation and nowcasting of regional GDP dynamics in Poland

Sławomir ŚMIECH, Michał RUBASZEK, Monika PAPIEŻ, Marek DĄBROWSKI, The impact of economic development on the effects of oil market shocks in oil-exporting countries. Evidence from the interacted panel VAR model

 

19:00 - 21:00 Ceremonial Dinner

 

Wednesday, November 17, 2021

7:45 – 9:00 Breakfast

9:30 – 13:45 Sightseeing tour

14:00 – 15:00 Lunch

 

15:00 – 16:30 Session 6: Post-covid economy

Chair: Paweł STRAWIŃSKI

Jagoda KASZOWSKA-MOJSA, Agata SZYMAŃSKA, Przemysław WŁODARCZYK, Epidemic prevention and control in the DSGE model

Michał ŁUKOWSKI, Paweł ŚLIWIŃSKI, Kamil GEMRA, Janusz MARUSZEWSKI, Piotr ZYGMANOWSKI, COVID-19 impact on investor’s behaviour

Julia WŁODARCZYK, Jan ACEDAŃSKI, COVID-19 and dispersion of inflation expectations in Europe

 

16:30 – 17:00 Break

 

17:00 – 18:00 Session 7: Monetary and fiscal policy

Chair: Robert KELM

Marek A. DĄBROWSKI, Monetary policy in an open economy under fiscal dominance

Paweł STRAWIŃSKI, CIT Gap for methodology and estimation for Poland 2012-2014 using bottom-up approach

 

18:00 – 19:30 Session 8: Financial stability

Chair: Wojciech GRABOWSKI

JAGODA KASZOWSKA-MOJSA, Investigating new policies for financial stability that do not create inequality

Mariusz GÓRAJSKI, Zbigniew KUCHTA, Leaning Against the Wind’ versus Macroprudential Policy: Robust Welfare Analysis in a DSGE Model with Two Financial Frictions

Tomasz KACZMAREK, Barbara BĘDOWSKA-SÓJKA, Przemysław GROBELNY, Katarzyna PEREZ, False safe haven assets: evidence from the target volatility strategy based on recurrent neural network

 

19:45 - 21:00 Dinner

 

Thursday, November 18, 2021

7:45 – 9:00 Breakfast

 

9:30 – 10:30 Session 9: Labour market II

Chair: Michał MAJSTEREK

Paulina HOJDA, Sylwia ROSZKOWSKA, Mariusz TROJAK, Determinants of graduates’ labour market success

Paulina BRONIATOWSKA, Paweł STRAWIŃSKI, Olga ZAJKOWSKA, Should I stay or should I go. Why Poles became inactive?

 

10:30 – 11:30 Session 10: GARCH models

Chair: Anna STASZEWSKA - BYSTROVA

Ewa RATUSZNY, Dependency modeling

Olga KUTERA, Fine wine in risk minimizing portfolios

 

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch