Program na rok 2014

17.11

Monday

  • From 16:00 Hotel registration
  • 19:00–21:00 Dinner and Get Together Party

18.11

Tuesday

  • 7:45–9:00 Breakfast
  • 9:00–9:45 Conference registration
  • 9:45–10:00 Opening of the conference – Aleksander Welfe
  • 10:00–11:00 Invited Session I
  • Chair: Aleksander Welfe
  • Marianne Gogstad, Ali M. Kutan, Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu, Do International Institutions Affect Financial Markets?: Evidence from the Greek Sovereign Debt Crisis
  • 11:00–12:30 Session 1: Financial econometrics
  • Chair: Ricardo C. Lima
  • Łukasz Gątarek, Søren Johansen, Optimizing the sharpe ratio in the cointegrated VAR
  • Emilia Gosińska, Aleksander Welfe, Testing for Structural Breaks in Vector Error Correction Models
  • Marcin Wojtowicz, The determinants of CDS bid-ask spreads
  • 12:30–13:00 Coffee Break
  • 13:00–14:00 Session 2: Monetary policy modeling
  • Chair: Taufiq Choudhry
  • Janusz Brzeszczyński, Jerzy Gajdka, Ali M. Kutan, Does Central Bank Communication Matter in Emerging European Markets? Evidence from Poland
  • Jocildo F. Bezerra, Ricardo C. Lima and Igor E. M. Silva, A study on bank landing channel in Brazil matching impulse response
  • 14:00–15:00 Lunch
  • 15:00–16:00 AMFET Session 3: Exchange rate modelling I
  • Chair: Robert Kelm
  • Marek A. Dąbrowski, Justyna Wróblewska, Exchange rates and macroeconomic shocks in Central European countries: Evidence from the Bayesian SVAR models with common serial correlation
  • Piotr Kębłowski, Fixed or float? The panel approach to the real exchange rates of the CEEC’s
  • 19:00 Ceremonial Dinner

19.11

Wednesday

  • 7:45–8:30 Breakfast
  • 8:30–9:00 AMFET Meeting
  • 10:00–11:00 Invited Session II
  • Chair: Jacek Osiewalski
  • Manfred Gili, Enrico Schumann, Optimization Cultures
  • 11:00–12:30 Session 4: Economic Growth and Business Cycle Modeling
  • Chair: Jan Gadomski
  • Jacek Osiewalski, Kamil Makieła, Justyna Wróblewska, Bayesian comparison between GDP models based on VAR and SF specifications
  • Jan Acedański, Welfare gains from eliminating business cycle in Poland
  • Marta Skrzypczyńska, How has the last financial crisis changed the business cycle in Poland – spectral analysis conclusions
  • 12:30–13:00 Coffee Break
  • 13:00–14:00 Session 5: Labour market modeling
  • Chair: Piotr Kębłowski
  • Mateusz Pipień, Sylwia Roszkowska, Heterogeneity of Return on Education in Emerging and Developed Countries in Europe – the Empirical Importance of the Systems of Regressions Approach
  • Karolina Konopczak, Aleksandra Majchrowska, Agnieszka Skierska, Paweł Strawiński, Why are women paid less than men? An investigation into gender wage gap in Poland
  • 14:00–15:00 Lunch
  • 15:00–16:00 AMFET Session 6: Exchange rate modelling II
  • Chair: Jan Hagemejer
  • Wojciech Grabowski, Aleksander Welfe, Exchange rate model with market pressure and herding behaviour. Application to the polish currency market
  • Katarzyna Maciejowska, Jakub Nowotarski, Rafał Weron, Computing prediction intervals using quantile regression and forecast averaging
  • 16:00–16:30 Coffee Break
  • 16:30–17:30 AMFET Session 7: Inflation modeling
  • Chair: Magdalena Osińska
  • Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior, The impact of fuel prices on inflation in the Polish economy
  • Monika Naskręcka, A Non-Tâtonnement Model with Producers’ Stocks and Costs of Storage
  • 19:00 Dinner

20.11

Thursday

  • 7:45–9:00 Breakfast
  • 10:00–11:00 Invited Session III
  • Chair: Manfred Gili
  • Taufiq Choudhry, Syed Shabi Ul Hassan, Fotios I. Papadimitriou, UK Imports, Third country effect and the Global financial crisis: Evidence from the Asymmetric ARDL Method
  • 11:00–12:30 Session 8: Economic Growth and International Trade Modeling
  • Chair: Łukasz Gątarek
  • Jan Gadomski, Lech Kruś, Zbigniew Nahorski, The Impact of EU GHG Limiting Policies on Economic Growth of Poland. A Multicriteria Approach
  • Jan Hagemejer, Mahdi Ghodsi, Up or down the value chain? The comparative analysis of the GVC position of the economies of the new EU member states
  • Magdalena Osińska, Tadeusz Kufel, Marcin Błażejowski, Paweł Kufel, Economic growth determinants in developed and emerging economies – a threshold model approach
  • 12:30–13:30 Lunch